This particular concept has been presented before by me and others, but rather than wake up a sleeping dog, I think I’ll just start a new topic.
There are at least two ideas used to develop most systems. First is the concept of trends. Everybody knows that there are trends in roulette. The problem is catching a trend before it ends in order take advantage of it. Most trends are only recognized after they are over. Also, how long they will continue is impossible to determine ahead of time.
I think by far most systems are built around this idea of spotting a trend, jumping on the trend and hoping it will continue long enough to win some profits. I don’t doubt for a minute that there are ways to play this by seasoned roulette enthusiasts that generate wins on a regular basis.
The second method is to wait until something has not happened for a while and then bet that it will happen. This is the idea that something can be due. It is a valid concept because given enough spins, everything tends toward the mathematical probability. The dilemma is that we don’t know how long a deviation from the norm will last before it corrects itself, but correct itself it will, eventually.
I have focused mostly on the trend methods in the past, but I am turning my attention more and more to the due methods. The main enemy of this method is something going to sleep for a very long time while you’re betting on it. We’ll have to have a counter measure to stop of from chasing a sleeper into infinity.
All systems can have a lot of variables that make little if any difference in the overall effectiveness of the system, so I will include a couple with this system.
Our first system is built around the even chance bets. It uses the idea that if one side of the even chance doesn’t hit as often as it should, it will eventually make up the difference and get back to normal. We already know that this can happen quickly or take a month of Sundays. Happening quickly will win us some money, taking a long time can bankrupt us.
First, we track all 3 even chances for at least 18 spins. I’ll use R/B for explanation. If either R or B gets down to 40% or less of the hits, we will say that it is due. We can start betting a flat bet on it.
Let’s say that we have had 18 spins and Black has only hit 7 times. It should have hit 9 times, so it is falling behind and we can expect it to start catching back up to where it should be. We will bet 1 unit on Black until we get a win or until we lose 3 times more than we win. If we lose 3 times more than we win, we will check the other even chances to see if one of them is equal to or has a lower strike rate than Black. If we have one, we will start betting on it. If Black is still the most due, we will wait until it hits 1 time and then we will start betting on it again. We can bet on it until it hits 2 times more than it loses or loses 2 times more than it hits or we get to where Black = approximately 50% of the hits.
Option 1: Once an even chance qualifies we bet on it for 7 bets. At the end of 7 bets we re-evaluate the percentages of all the even chances and our next 7 bets are on the most due even chance. But, if it’s the even chance we were just betting on, we must wait until it hits 1 times before we begin our next 7 bets.
Our safety measure is that we can’t bet more than 7 times on an even chance that’s not improving its hit rate until it hits again and is the most due even chance of all three.
Option 1A: Aggressive method. Once an even chance qualifies, play a 5 step martingale (1-2-4-8-16) that it will hit. If it hits within the 5 steps, wait until the 5 spins and then bet it again. After each win, re-evaluate the other even chances to see if one of them qualifies with a worse strike rate. If so, after the 5 spins end, start betting on it with a 5 step marty.
Instead of a 5 step marty you can play a 7 step fibo (1-1-2-3-5-8-13). Remember, you must win 2 times in a row playing a fibo.
Option 2: We can play this on the dozens or columns. Track for at least 21 spins. If a dozen is only 20% of the spins, flat bet it until it gets to 30% or for 7 bets. After 7 bets, if you haven’t had a hit, wait until the dozen finally hits and bet it again for 7 bets.
Continue playing the dozen until it reaches 30% of the hits or another dozen or column has a worse strike rate. If another dozen has a worse strike rate, at the end of the next 7 bets, switch to the new dozen or column.
Option 2A: Aggressive method. Instead of a flat bet, you can play an 8 step martingale for dozens (1-1-2-3-4-6-9-14). No progressions. If you win, you wait until the 8 spins complete and then bet again. Remember, at the end of 8 spins, re-evaluate for a more due dozen or column.
For flat betting, I think a 20 unit buy-in is more than adequate. You can quit at any profit. This is not hit and run.
For the marty’s, I’d have 100 units. If you have 2 losses betting the marty’s I’d call it a day.
One other way of using the above imbalance to win a few chips.
Anytime an even chance shows less than 40%, it’s a good time to test this idea,
A result is more likely to happen anywhere than at an exact location.
So, if I blindfold you and throw a baseball out into a field and I tell you to walk out into the field and stop anywhere you wish. The odds of you finding that baseball within 3 feet of you are much less than finding it anywhere in the field.
If Black has shown less than 40% of the spins, if we start betting a 7 step martingale on Black we have 2 things working for us.
1) We can expect Black to start hitting more as the unknown force called equilibrium works on it.
2) Having 7 Reds hit in a row starting at that exact point would be very bad luck. On par with walking to within 3 feet of that baseball.
If we were playing every spin against a run of 7 Reds, we would for sure find it. But playing hit-n-run we might never find it in our lifetime.
You can play this for 5 wins starting on the very next spin after a color doesn’t hit 40% or more. Wait until you have 10 spins from when you started betting before starting the next marty.
Last but certainly not least, we can play this imbalance idea with series vs singles. It’s played the exact same way as R/B only it will be Series/Singles.
A Series is two or more of a color in a row, sometimes called a streak or repeats and a Single is only 1 of a color sometimes called chops or alternating. Mathematically they should hit an equal number of times not counting the zero. If the number of one or the other gets behind 40%, we can flat bet for that event to happen more than normal. So, if we have 12 singles and 8 series, we can start flat betting for series or repeats using the same bet methods outlined in the 1st post of this topic.
For added winnings, you can play the even chances and the series/singles at the same time. For plenty of betting opportunities you can play both of those plus the dozens and columns at the same time. Not often will you be betting everything at once.
I can not see a trend or imbalance can work in reasonable time, to have use of it.
This is one of the few things I have tested over a lot of spins. We will find corrections, but not so often and sure, we can really make use of it.
The corrections will come, if you use % in calculations. If you use numbers no.
In 100 spins you can see often 45/55 which is 10 in difference, and 45% and 55%.
In 1000 spins you can often see 480/520 which is 40 in difference and 48% and 52%
In larger series of spins the % part will come closer, but the difference in number will not do it more than in some rare cases.
1/38 or 1/37 will be a zero hit as well.
Repeating pattern or number, may be, I am still not sure.
I have tested a lot of things, and as most of it, it will not work good, the game is difficult.
I use the methods, anyhow, what else are there? If the method we use suit the outcome, we are right, and will not know before.
Its a human speciality, to see much more than there are.
Here’s some more thoughts.
I know we’re playing for a correction in a very small window. Big wins will not be expected. Maybe just enough to win over time.
In order for an even chance to “catch up” it must hit more than the other even chance. In order for it to hit more than the other even chance, it must hit multiple times in a row. If we play virtual until we have a R and then we bet for another R, we will be catching the extra R’s (wins) needed for R to catch up. f there’s always a B after each R which would be a loss, we’re not catching up.