# The best progression for Red / Black

I was reading about a bet method on a published system for a different game and it seems to be worth trying on roulette. Especially for you lucky punters that have access to non-zero roulette. Or even single zero with “la partage”.

The bet selection is your choice. This bet method is based on Oscar’s Grind. That is, we increase our bet amount after a win and we keep it the same after a loss.

We have to keep track of 3 numbers. Units Lost, current bet size and a running total to be able to know when we’ve reached our win target. Losses starts out as 0, bet size starts out as 1 and of course running total starts out at zero. Every time we lose we increase Losses by the amount lost and the bet amount remains unchanged. Every time we win we increase the bet amount by 1 unit and we decrease Losses by the amount won. Every time we lose 2 times in a row, we stop betting until we have a virtual win then we start betting for real at the unit amount of the last bet we made.

This is a means of trying to prevent large streaks of losses from wiping us out. It is off-set by the reality that we may skip wins and come back to play and catch 2 more losses. If we do this once that’s 4 losses in a row, and twice is 6 losses in a row. But all in all I think stopping after 2 losses and waiting for the losing streak to end is a safer idea.

The only reason we keep track of losses is that we have a chart that comes into play after we’ve won 2 times in a row. This tells us what to bet based on how many units we are down. Using this chart is entirely optional.

Units down     Bet Amount
1-3                       1
4-6                       2
7-9                       3
10 +                     4

This chart accomplishes 2 things. First, it causes us to increase our bet size more rapidly if we just had a long stretch of losses and it lets us reduce our bet size if we’re betting larger units but have recovered most or all of our losses.

4 units is the largest bet we will be making and if we lose a 4 unit bet, we end that attack and re-set losses to 0 and bet size to 1. I also suggest that you re-set any time you reach a new high bank amount. That’s the basic skeleton of the bet method. It can be adjusted to suit your personal preferences. For example you can make a losing bet of 5 or 6 the stop-loss target.

The original version has us adding an extra unit to the losses number for every loss. This gives us some guaranteed profit if we get back to zero. I didn’t include this factor because it’s just as easy to keep track of our total and make decisions accordingly.

### Some observations

This is a very controlled money management strategy. It keeps the bets from escalating too high by ending the game on a 4 unit lost bet. This is a very important part of the method. Every bet selection will have periodic losing streaks. We either need to be prepared to bet a long progression, risking large numbers of units to try and stop a loss or we need to be willing to take small losses more often to keep from having to use a long expensive progression.

The above paragraph is in red because it’s the reality of most gambling systems. It has to be come to grips with if you intend to stay sane playing this game. I’m not say that a long progression is dumb, I’m just saying that if you use it, you have to be aware of the pitfalls and be willing to take a really big hit every now and then. Also, it takes a lot of guts to place the larger bet amounts so, “Know thyself” before you try to play using a steep progression.

That’s the method in a nutshell. Use it if you like it,

GLC
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### A minor tweak to this progression

Use any even chance bet selection method you like.  Or for simplicity, just pick one of the even chances, such as Red and play Red only.  Or if it makes you mad if you happen to pick the wrong color, play follow-the-last.  That way you’ll catch all steaks of either color.  What you won’t like is RBRBRBRBRBRBR.  But, there’s no selection process that doesn’t have a killer sequence.

The bet progression is what I’m presenting here.
We will increase our bet size after 2 wins and we’ll stay the same after a loss.  The 2 wins don’t have to be in a row and it doesn’t matter how many losses are between them.

This is a possible sequence:
-1-1-1+1-1-1+1-2-2+2+2-3-3-3+3-3+3+4+4-4 = -5

Here’s a winning sequence:
+1-1-1+1+2+2-3+3+3-4 = +3

4 units is the largest bet we make.
We play until we lose on a 4 unit bet.
We can win many 4 bets but when we lose a 4 unit bet we end the attack plus or minus.

### I am tightening up my rules for playing this system.

I have changed the “Chart”. For all of you who have any respect for anything I write, I’m encouraging you to look at this more closely. I suggest this because it is a very solid bet method that gives enough wiggle room to win some units without ever risking too much at one time. I suggest a 40 unit buy-in and a 10 unit win target.  As you play it you can adjust these to suit yourself. I will suggest a bet selection method but you can use any even chance method you like.

1. RBRBRBRB etc… Just alternate continuously.  This will keep from having long losing stretches most of the time. The rule in the system of ending real betting after 2 losses in a row and then only resuming real betting after a win works well in conjunction with this bet method.

We have to keep track of 3 numbers.
Units Lost
Current bet size
Running total.

Losses start out as 0, bet size starts as 1.

Every time we lose we increase Losses by the amount lost and the bet amount remains unchanged.

Every time we win we increase the bet amount by 1 unit and we decrease Losses by the amount won.

Every time we lose 2 times in a row, we stop betting until we have a virtual win then we start betting again.

The only reason we keep track of losses is that we have a chart that comes into play after we’ve won 2 times in a row.  This tells us what to bet based on how many units we are down.

Units down     Bet Amount
1-2                          1
3-4                          2
5-6                          3
7-8                          4
9 or more             5*
Continue to bet based on the chart as long as you are winning or until you reach 0, 1.

As soon as you lose a bet from the chart, you go back to the normal betting rules.

This chart accomplishes 2 things.  First, it causes us to increase our bet size more rapidly if we just had a long stretch of losses and it lets us reduce our bet size if we’re betting larger units but have recovered most or all of our losses.

*Note: This is the only time we will ever bet 5 units.  It’s when we have won 2 times in a row and we go to the chart and we’re down 9 units or more, then and only then can we bet 5 units.  Never more than 5 units. Any time we lose a 5 unit bet we end the session and take our loss.

4 units is the largest bet we will make other then the 5 unit bet when using the chart.  If we lose a 4 unit bet, we also end that attack and re-set losses to 0 and bet size to 1. Re-set everything any time you reach a new profit. That will be when the running total = +1.

You can stop looking for a better even chance system. There are none.  There may be others as good, but none better. You can be fooled by long progressions, but they are just smoke and mirrors. In the end, the closer you stay to a flat bet, the better off you’re going to be.

### I’m thinking this is as good as it gets.

Especially for baccarat where you have to bet large units.
It can be dialed back to limit the size of our bets even more. We can say that under normal betting when we lose a 3 unit bet we have to reset. That would mean on the chart we’d have to drop the line for the 5 unit bet and say that any draw-down over 7 units results in a 4 unit bet. Any loss on the 4 unit bet causes a termination and overall reset.

When we’re betting from the chart, as long as we win we stay with the chart. If we lose at either 3 or 4 unit bets, this ends the attack, reset. If we win and the chart tell us to bet 2 units and we lose, then we go back to our progression line. I have been having very good results using the alternating bet selection process. The only thing that kills it is to be on the losing side of chops. In this case the stop after 2 losses until a win to resume betting helps stabilize the system.

I’m always trying to tweak it to be better. It actually does well if we go to the chart after every win instead of waiting for 2 wins in a row. Also using the chart after 2 wins but not necessarily in a row works also.

When you test a session, check and see if alternating R/B or B/P does as well, worse or better than the bet selection you used. Also, see if one of the options sending us to the chart more frequently helps any. Or, don’t mess with it at all. It works fine as is! I just need to leave well enough alone.

GLC
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Roulette-Bet comment: We don’t know about the STOP-RESTART idea of this system, but we DO LIKE the progression. Also you can minimize your win target to just two units instead of five.